Guarani x Botafogo SP Betting tips for January 15 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
| 📅 15/1/2025 22:30 |
 Guarani2.00 |
X 3.00 |
Botafogo SP  3.80 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Guarani x Botafogo SP:
🔮 Guarani wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarani, you can win up to $1000.00!
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The main points for the tip for Guarani x Botafogo SP: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. |
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Analysis from Guarani x Botafogo SP for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 15 of January
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🏟️ Guarani X Botafogo SP – Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
When the best bet on Guarani x Botafogo SP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245823 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Guarani x Botafogo SP
Should you bet on Guarani?
🔵 Guarani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $570.00;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$140.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $340.00;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$490.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Botafogo SP?
🔴 Botafogo SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $728.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$12.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Botafogo SP
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guarani x Botafogo SP
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Guarani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Guarani.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Botafogo SP.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Botafogo SP
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
