Guarani x Mirassol Betting tips for September 17 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Guarani x Mirassol, Tuesday, 17/9/2024

📅 17/9/2024 21:30

Guarani 2.30

X 2.88

Mirassol 3.28

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Guarani x Mirassol:

🔮 Guarani wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarani, you can win up to $1150.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Guarani x Mirassol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $617.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Guarani scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Mirassol, Guarani scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Guarani x Mirassol, with Guarani as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Guarani conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Mirassol.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Guarani x Mirassol?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Guarani x Mirassol:

Analysis from Guarani x Mirassol for the Brazil Serie B – 17 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guarani and Mirassol.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1182288 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guarani x Mirassol

Is it worth betting on Guarani?

🔵 Guarani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $585.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$35.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $526.40
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Is betting on Mirassol worth it?

🔴 Mirassol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $615.60
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$114.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Mirassol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guarani x Mirassol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Guarani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Guarani.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Guarani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Mirassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.