Guarani x Noroeste Betting tips for January 26 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
π
26/1/2025 23:30 |
![]() 1.93 |
X 3.10 |
Noroeste ![]() 3.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Guarani x Noroeste:
π Ummβ¦what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Guarani x Noroeste
Some important points for the tip for Guarani x Noroeste: π If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. |
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Analysis from Guarani x Noroeste for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista β 26 of January
ποΈ Guarani X Noroeste β Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Guarani x Noroeste right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1251921 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1Γ2 market for Guarani x Noroeste
Is it a good idea to bet on Guarani?
π΅ Guarani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times β profiting $492.90;
- And would have lost other 470 times β with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$22.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times β this would give you a profit of $525.00
- And would have lost other 750 times β with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$225.00.
Should you bet on Noroeste?
π΄ Noroeste: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times β having a profit of $638.00;
- And would lose other 780 times β having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$142.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Noroeste
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1Γ2: -0.25 Guarani
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Guarani x Noroeste
β Handicap 1Γ2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Guarani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Guarani.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ2 is on: 0.5 Noroeste.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Noroeste
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.