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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gubbio x Vis Pesaro Betting tips for October 29 in Italy Serie C Group B
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie C Group B
Gubbio Gubbio
PREDICTION No tip
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro
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Gubbio x Vis Pesaro Betting tips for October 29 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Gubbio x Vis Pesaro, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
πŸ“… 29/10/2024
19:45
Gubbio Gubbio
2.03
X
2.93
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro
3.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gubbio x Vis Pesaro:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Gubbio x Vis Pesaro

Important information for your tip for Gubbio x Vis Pesaro:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gubbio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vis Pesaro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Vis Pesaro scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Vis Pesaro, Gubbio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Vis Pesaro conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Gubbio has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Vis Pesaro playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gubbio x Vis Pesaro for the Italy Serie C Group B – 29 of October

🏟️ Gubbio X Vis Pesaro – Italy Serie C Group B
πŸ“… 29 of October, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Gubbio – Winning probability: 43.17% | Fair line: 2.32
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.11% | Fair line: 3.11
πŸ”΄ Vis Pesaro – Winning probability: 24.72% | Fair line: 4.05
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gubbio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gubbio x Vis Pesaro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1211436 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gubbio x Vis Pesaro

Is it worth betting on Gubbio?

πŸ”΅ Gubbio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $442.90;
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$127.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $617.60
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$62.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Vis Pesaro?

πŸ”΄ Vis Pesaro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gubbio x Vis Pesaro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gubbio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gubbio x Vis Pesaro

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Gubbio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Gubbio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gubbio x Vis Pesaro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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