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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Gudja United x Balzan FC Betting tips for November 25 in Malta Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Malta Premier League
Gudja United Gudja United
PREDICTION Balzan FC Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Balzan FC Balzan FC
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Gudja United x Balzan FC Betting tips for November 25 in Malta Premier League

Our betting tip for Gudja United x Balzan FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:30
Gudja United Gudja United
2.86
X
3.20
Balzan FC Balzan FC
2.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gudja United x Balzan FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Balzan FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Balzan FC, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Gudja United x Balzan FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gudja United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Balzan FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-13.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Gudja United scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Balzan FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Gudja United conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Gudja United x Balzan FC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Gudja United x Balzan FC for the Malta Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Gudja United X Balzan FC – Malta Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต Gudja United – Winning probability: 10.55% | Fair line: 9.48
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.41% | Fair line: 3.65
๐Ÿ”ด Balzan FC – Winning probability: 62.04% | Fair line: 1.61
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gudja United
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gudja United x Balzan FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gudja United x Balzan FC

Is betting on Gudja United worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Gudja United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $204.60;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$685.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Balzan FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Balzan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $744.00;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$364.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Gudja United x Balzan FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gudja United
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gudja United x Balzan FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Gudja United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Gudja United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Gudja United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gudja United x Balzan FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves