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Home » Predictions » Others » Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee Betting tips for November 25 in Ethiopia Premier League
Monday, 25 November 2024, 13h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopian Coffee
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee Betting tips for November 25 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
13:00
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
2.25
X
2.90
Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopian Coffee
3.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hadiya Hossana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-182.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethiopian Coffee in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Ethiopian Coffee, Hadiya Hossana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Hadiya Hossana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee for the Ethiopia Premier League – 25 of November

🏟️ Hadiya Hossana X Ethiopian Coffee – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Hadiya Hossana – Winning probability: 41.94% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.32% | Fair line: 2.68
🔴 Ethiopian Coffee – Winning probability: 20.74% | Fair line: 4.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hadiya Hossana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee

Is it a good idea to bet on Hadiya Hossana?

🔵 Hadiya Hossana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $703.00
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$73.00.

Should you bet on Ethiopian Coffee?

🔴 Ethiopian Coffee: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $430.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hadiya Hossana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Hadiya Hossana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Hadiya Hossana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Ethiopian Coffee.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hadiya Hossana x Ethiopian Coffee

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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