Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 11/12/2025 20:00 |
 Hamrun Spartans8.50 |
X 5.75 |
Shakhtar Donetsk  1.28 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk:
🔮 Shakhtar Donetsk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Shakhtar Donetsk, you can win up to $640.00!
Important information for your tip for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hamrun Spartans in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $139.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shakhtar Donetsk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-236.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Hamrun Spartans scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Shakhtar Donetsk is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 68.00% of possession.
👉 Hamrun Spartans is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Shakhtar Donetsk has not lost any of them.
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk for the UEFA Conference League – 11 of December
🏟️ Hamrun Spartans X Shakhtar Donetsk – UEFA Conference League
📅 11 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Hamrun Spartans – Winning probability: 2.67% | Fair line: 37.48
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.72% | Fair line: 14.87
🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk – Winning probability: 90.61% | Fair line: 1.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Hamrun Spartans
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449962 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
Is it a good idea to bet on Hamrun Spartans?
🔵 Hamrun Spartans: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $225.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$745.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $332.50;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$597.50.
Is betting on Shakhtar Donetsk worth it?
🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $254.80;
- And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$164.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Hamrun Spartans
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Hamrun Spartans and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Hamrun Spartans.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Hamrun Spartans.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
