Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya Betting tips for December 19 in Israel Leumit Liga
| 📅 19/12/2025 13:00 |
 Hapoel Afula3.90 |
X 3.50 |
Maccabi Herzliya  1.75 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya:
🔮 Maccabi Herzliya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maccabi Herzliya, you can win up to $875.00!
The main points for the tip for Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Afula in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maccabi Herzliya in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $550.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Maccabi Herzliya scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Hapoel Afula conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Maccabi Herzliya.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Maccabi Herzliya has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya for the Israel Leumit Liga – 19 of December
🏟️ Hapoel Afula X Maccabi Herzliya – Israel Leumit Liga
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Hapoel Afula – Winning probability: 20.23% | Fair line: 4.94
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.09% | Fair line: 4.33
🔴 Maccabi Herzliya – Winning probability: 56.68% | Fair line: 1.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hapoel Afula
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya
Should you bet on Hapoel Afula?
🔵 Hapoel Afula: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $580.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $575.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.00.
Should you bet on Maccabi Herzliya?
🔴 Maccabi Herzliya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $427.50;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$2.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hapoel Afula
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Hapoel Afula, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Hapoel Afula.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Afula x Maccabi Herzliya
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
