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Home » Predictions » Others » Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek Betting tips for January 3 in Israel Liga Alef South
Friday, 03 January 2025, 10h45 Israel Liga Alef South
Hapoel Herzliya Hapoel Herzliya
PREDICTION No tip
Hapoel Marmorek Hapoel Marmorek
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Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek Betting tips for January 3 in Israel Liga Alef South

Our betting tip for Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek, Friday, 3/1/2025
📅 3/1/2025
10:45
Hapoel Herzliya Hapoel Herzliya
1.67
X
3.60
Hapoel Marmorek Hapoel Marmorek
4.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek

The main points for the tip for Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Herzliya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Marmorek in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Hapoel Marmorek conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek for the Israel Liga Alef South – 3 of January

🏟️ Hapoel Herzliya X Hapoel Marmorek – Israel Liga Alef South
📅 3 of January, 2025 – 10:45
🔵 Hapoel Herzliya – Winning probability: 58.70% | Fair line: 1.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.24% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Hapoel Marmorek – Winning probability: 17.07% | Fair line: 5.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hapoel Herzliya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1241696 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek

Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Herzliya?

🔵 Hapoel Herzliya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $395.30;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.70.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is betting on Hapoel Marmorek worth it?

🔴 Hapoel Marmorek: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $566.10
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$263.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hapoel Herzliya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Hapoel Herzliya and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Hapoel Herzliya.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Hapoel Marmorek.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Herzliya x Hapoel Marmorek

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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