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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba Betting tips for November 24 in Israel Leumit Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Israel Leumit Liga
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
PREDICTION No tip
Hapoel Kfar Saba Hapoel Kfar Saba
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Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba Betting tips for November 24 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
13:00
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
1.48
X
4.00
Hapoel Kfar Saba Hapoel Kfar Saba
5.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba

The main points for the tip for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Kiryat Shmona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Kfar Saba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hapoel Kiryat Shmona scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Kfar Saba, Hapoel Kiryat Shmona scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Hapoel Kiryat Shmona is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba

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Summary

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Analysis from Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba for the Israel Leumit Liga – 24 of November

🏟️ Hapoel Kiryat Shmona X Hapoel Kfar Saba – Israel Leumit Liga
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Hapoel Kiryat Shmona – Winning probability: 66.22% | Fair line: 1.51
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.38% | Fair line: 4.28
πŸ”΄ Hapoel Kfar Saba – Winning probability: 10.40% | Fair line: 9.61
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba

Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Kiryat Shmona?

πŸ”΅ Hapoel Kiryat Shmona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $316.80;
  • And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$23.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $690.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$80.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Kfar Saba?

πŸ”΄ Hapoel Kfar Saba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$452.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Hapoel Kfar Saba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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