Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Betting tips for December 20 in Israel Liga Alef North
| 📅 20/12/2025 17:00 |
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2.61 |
X 3.50 |
Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye ![]() 2.30 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Important information for your tip for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $912.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye for the Israel Liga Alef North – 20 of December
🏟️ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm X Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye – Israel Liga Alef North
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – Winning probability: 26.34% | Fair line: 3.8
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.20% | Fair line: 3.68
🔴 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye – Winning probability: 46.46% | Fair line: 2.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
🔵 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $418.60;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$321.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $675.00
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$55.00.
Should you bet on Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye?
🔴 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $598.00;
- And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$58.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm