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Home » Predictions » Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha Betting tips for December 14 in Ethiopia Higher League
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 12h30 Ethiopia Higher League
Harar City FC Harar City FC
PREDICTION Gamo Chencha Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Gamo Chencha Gamo Chencha
ODD: @2.18
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Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha Betting tips for December 14 in Ethiopia Higher League

Our betting tip for Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
12:30
Harar City FC Harar City FC
3.24
X
3.00
Gamo Chencha Gamo Chencha
2.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha:

🔮 Gamo Chencha wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gamo Chencha, you can win up to $1090.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Harar City FC in each of its last 3 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.
👉 In the last 7 Gamo Chencha matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha for the Ethiopia Higher League – 14 of December

🏟️ Harar City FC X Gamo Chencha – Ethiopia Higher League
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 12:30
🔵 Harar City FC – Winning probability: 24.67% | Fair line: 4.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.59% | Fair line: 3.91
🔴 Gamo Chencha – Winning probability: 49.74% | Fair line: 2.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Harar City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha

Is it a good idea to bet on Harar City FC?

🔵 Harar City FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gamo Chencha?

🔴 Gamo Chencha: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $590.00
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$90.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Harar City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Harar City FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Harar City FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Harar City FC x Gamo Chencha

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves