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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Hartlepool x Bromley Betting tips for November 25 in England National League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League
Hartlepool Hartlepool
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Bromley Bromley
ODD: @3.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Hartlepool x Bromley Betting tips for November 25 in England National League

Our betting tip for Hartlepool x Bromley, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Hartlepool Hartlepool
2.32
X
3.42
Bromley Bromley
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hartlepool x Bromley:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1710.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Hartlepool x Bromley:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hartlepool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bromley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bromley scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Hartlepool conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Bromley has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Hartlepool x Bromley

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Summary

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Analysis from Hartlepool x Bromley for the England National League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Hartlepool X Bromley – England National League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Hartlepool – Winning probability: 33.28% | Fair line: 3.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.42% | Fair line: 3.18
๐Ÿ”ด Bromley – Winning probability: 35.30% | Fair line: 2.83
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hartlepool
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hartlepool x Bromley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hartlepool x Bromley

Should you bet on Hartlepool?

๐Ÿ”ต Hartlepool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $435.60;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$234.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $750.20
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$60.20.

Is betting on Bromley worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Bromley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$90.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hartlepool x Bromley

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hartlepool
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hartlepool x Bromley

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Hartlepool and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Hartlepool.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Hartlepool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hartlepool x Bromley

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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