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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Hastings Utd x Canvey Island Betting tips for November 25 in England Isthmian Premier Division
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Isthmian Premier Division
Hastings Utd Hastings Utd
PREDICTION No tip
Canvey Island Canvey Island
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Hastings Utd x Canvey Island Betting tips for November 25 in England Isthmian Premier Division

Our betting tip for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Hastings Utd Hastings Utd
1.96
X
3.55
Canvey Island Canvey Island
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island

The main points for the tip for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hastings Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-78.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Canvey Island in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hastings Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Hastings Utd matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Canvey Island matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island

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Summary

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Analysis from Hastings Utd x Canvey Island for the England Isthmian Premier Division – 25 of November

🏟️ Hastings Utd X Canvey Island – England Isthmian Premier Division
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Hastings Utd – Winning probability: 42.80% | Fair line: 2.34
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.71% | Fair line: 4.22
πŸ”΄ Canvey Island – Winning probability: 33.49% | Fair line: 2.99
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hastings Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island

Is betting on Hastings Utd worth it?

πŸ”΅ Hastings Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $412.80
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$157.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $612.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$148.00.

Is betting on Canvey Island worth it?

πŸ”΄ Canvey Island: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hastings Utd x Canvey Island

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hastings Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Hastings Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Hastings Utd.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Hastings Utd.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hastings Utd x Canvey Island

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves