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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Havadar SC x Malavan Betting tips for November 24 in Iran Pro League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Iran Pro League
Havadar SC Havadar SC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Malavan Malavan
ODD: @2.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Havadar SC x Malavan Betting tips for November 24 in Iran Pro League

Our betting tip for Havadar SC x Malavan, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
11:30
Havadar SC Havadar SC
2.43
X
2.75
Malavan Malavan
2.99

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Havadar SC x Malavan:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1375.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Havadar SC x Malavan:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Havadar SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Malavan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Havadar SC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Malavan scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Malavan, Havadar SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Havadar SC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Havadar SC x Malavan, with Havadar SC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Malavan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Malavan has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Havadar SC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Malavan playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Havadar SC x Malavan

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Havadar SC x Malavan for the Iran Pro League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Havadar SC X Malavan – Iran Pro League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 11:30
๐Ÿ”ต Havadar SC – Winning probability: 19.81% | Fair line: 5.05
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 48.77% | Fair line: 2.05
๐Ÿ”ด Malavan – Winning probability: 31.42% | Fair line: 3.18
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Havadar SC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Havadar SC x Malavan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Havadar SC x Malavan

Is betting on Havadar SC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Havadar SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $286.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$514.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $857.50
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$347.50.

Is betting on Malavan worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Malavan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $616.90;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$73.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Havadar SC x Malavan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Havadar SC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Havadar SC x Malavan

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Havadar SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Havadar SC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Malavan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Havadar SC x Malavan

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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