Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for March 29 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 14:30

Haverfordwest County 2.00

X 3.30

Caernarfon Town 3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

Some important points for the tip for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Haverfordwest County in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $123.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Haverfordwest County scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Caernarfon Town conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Haverfordwest County has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Caernarfon Town playing at home.

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Analysis from Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town for the Wales Premier League – 29 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1290777 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

Is betting on Haverfordwest County worth it?

🔵 Haverfordwest County: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $530.00;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$60.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $736.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$56.00.

Is betting on Caernarfon Town worth it?

🔴 Caernarfon Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $375.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Haverfordwest County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Haverfordwest County, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Haverfordwest County. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.