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Home » Predictions » Others » Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for October 26 in Wales Premier League
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 16h15 Wales Premier League
Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County
PREDICTION Haverfordwest County wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for October 26 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
16:15
Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County
1.77
X
3.45
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
3.81

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town:

🔮 Haverfordwest County wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Haverfordwest County, you can win up to $885.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Haverfordwest County in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1030.0.
👉 Haverfordwest County did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Caernarfon Town, Haverfordwest County scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Haverfordwest County matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Caernarfon Town has not lost any of them.
👉 Haverfordwest County has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Caernarfon Town playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town for the Wales Premier League – 26 of October

🏟️ Haverfordwest County X Caernarfon Town – Wales Premier League
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 16:15
🔵 Haverfordwest County – Winning probability: 64.44% | Fair line: 1.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.33% | Fair line: 5.77
🔴 Caernarfon Town – Winning probability: 18.24% | Fair line: 5.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Haverfordwest County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209027 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

Is betting on Haverfordwest County worth it?

🔵 Haverfordwest County: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $492.80;
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$132.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $416.50
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$413.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Caernarfon Town?

🔴 Caernarfon Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $505.80;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$314.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Haverfordwest County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Haverfordwest County and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Haverfordwest County.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Haverfordwest County x Caernarfon Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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