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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Algeria Division 2
HB Chelghoum Laid HB Chelghoum Laid
PREDICTION No tip
RB Ouargla RB Ouargla
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HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2

Our betting tip for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
14:00
HB Chelghoum Laid HB Chelghoum Laid
1.77
X
3.16
RB Ouargla RB Ouargla
4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla

Some important points for the tip for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on HB Chelghoum Laid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-62.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on RB Ouargla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 HB Chelghoum Laid matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, RB Ouargla conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla for the Algeria Division 2 – 24 of November

🏟️ HB Chelghoum Laid X RB Ouargla – Algeria Division 2
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ HB Chelghoum Laid – Winning probability: 54.65% | Fair line: 1.83
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.64% | Fair line: 3.37
πŸ”΄ RB Ouargla – Winning probability: 15.71% | Fair line: 6.36
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 HB Chelghoum Laid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla

Is it worth betting on HB Chelghoum Laid?

πŸ”΅ HB Chelghoum Laid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $423.50
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$26.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $648.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$52.00.

Should you bet on RB Ouargla?

πŸ”΄ RB Ouargla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$296.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 HB Chelghoum Laid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 HB Chelghoum Laid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 HB Chelghoum Laid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 HB Chelghoum Laid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for HB Chelghoum Laid x RB Ouargla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves