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Home » Predictions » Others » Heidenheim x Chelsea Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Conference League
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 17h45 UEFA Conference League
Heidenheim Heidenheim
PREDICTION Chelsea Wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Chelsea Chelsea
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Heidenheim x Chelsea Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Conference League

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x Chelsea, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
17:45
Heidenheim Heidenheim
5.60
X
4.40
Chelsea Chelsea
1.47

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Heidenheim x Chelsea:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $735.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Heidenheim x Chelsea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-340.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-195.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Heidenheim x Chelsea?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Heidenheim x Chelsea for the UEFA Conference League – 28 of November

🏟️ Heidenheim X Chelsea – UEFA Conference League
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 3.00% | Fair line: 33.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.08% | Fair line: 24.53
🔴 Chelsea – Winning probability: 92.93% | Fair line: 1.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Heidenheim x Chelsea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229024 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Chelsea

Should you bet on Heidenheim?

🔵 Heidenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $138.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$832.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $136.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$824.00.

Should you bet on Chelsea?

🔴 Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 930 times – having a profit of $437.10;
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$367.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x Chelsea

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Heidenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Heidenheim.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Chelsea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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