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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Heider SV x TSB Flensburg Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV Heider SV
PREDICTION TSB Flensburg Wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
TSB Flensburg TSB Flensburg
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Heider SV x TSB Flensburg Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein

Our betting tip for Heider SV x TSB Flensburg, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:00
Heider SV Heider SV
3.35
X
4.20
TSB Flensburg TSB Flensburg
1.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heider SV x TSB Flensburg:

๐Ÿ”ฎ TSB Flensburg wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSB Flensburg, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Heider SV x TSB Flensburg:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Heider SV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Heider SV scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, TSB Flensburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against TSB Flensburg, Heider SV scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 TSB Flensburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Heider SV x TSB Flensburg, with Heider SV as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Heider SV conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against TSB Flensburg.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, TSB Flensburg has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Even as a visitor, TSB Flensburg won the last 3 head-to-head matches Heider SVยดs territory

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Heider SV x TSB Flensburg

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Summary

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Analysis from Heider SV x TSB Flensburg for the Germany Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Heider SV X TSB Flensburg – Germany Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Heider SV – Winning probability: 17.53% | Fair line: 5.7
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.69% | Fair line: 7.88
๐Ÿ”ด TSB Flensburg – Winning probability: 69.77% | Fair line: 1.43
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Heider SV
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Heider SV x TSB Flensburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heider SV x TSB Flensburg

Is betting on Heider SV worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Heider SV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $423.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$397.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $416.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$454.00.

Is it worth betting on TSB Flensburg?

๐Ÿ”ด TSB Flensburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$225.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heider SV x TSB Flensburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Heider SV
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heider SV x TSB Flensburg

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Heider SV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Heider SV. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heider SV x TSB Flensburg

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves