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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Helmond Sport x FC Emmen Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
PREDICTION Helmond Sport wins Probability 32% 1 X 2
FC Emmen FC Emmen
ODD: @2.64 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Helmond Sport x FC Emmen Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Helmond Sport x FC Emmen, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
2.64
X
3.39
FC Emmen FC Emmen
2.34

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Helmond Sport x FC Emmen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Helmond Sport wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Helmond Sport, you can win up to $1320.00!

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The main points for the tip for Helmond Sport x FC Emmen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Helmond Sport in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-177.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Emmen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-28.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Helmond Sport scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Emmen, Helmond Sport scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 FC Emmen matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Helmond Sport x FC Emmen

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Helmond Sport x FC Emmen for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Helmond Sport X FC Emmen – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Helmond Sport – Winning probability: 46.12% | Fair line: 2.17
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.29% | Fair line: 4.7
๐Ÿ”ด FC Emmen – Winning probability: 32.59% | Fair line: 3.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Helmond Sport
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Helmond Sport x FC Emmen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Helmond Sport x FC Emmen

Is it worth betting on Helmond Sport?

๐Ÿ”ต Helmond Sport: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $754.40;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$214.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $501.90;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$288.10.

Is betting on FC Emmen worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Emmen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $442.20;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$227.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Helmond Sport x FC Emmen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Helmond Sport
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Helmond Sport x FC Emmen

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Helmond Sport, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Helmond Sport.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Helmond Sport.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Helmond Sport x FC Emmen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves