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Home » Predictions » Others » Helmond Sport x Willem II Betting tips for December 21 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h30 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
PREDICTION Willem II Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Willem II Willem II
ODD: @2.42
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Helmond Sport x Willem II Betting tips for December 21 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Helmond Sport x Willem II, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
13:30
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
2.55
X
3.40
Willem II Willem II
2.42

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Helmond Sport x Willem II:

🔮 Willem II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Willem II, you can win up to $1210.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Helmond Sport x Willem II:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Helmond Sport in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Helmond Sport scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Willem II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Helmond Sport matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Helmond Sport conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Helmond Sport x Willem II?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Helmond Sport x Willem II, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Helmond Sport x Willem II for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 21 of December

🏟️ Helmond Sport X Willem II – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Helmond Sport – Winning probability: 28.76% | Fair line: 3.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.11% | Fair line: 4.74
🔴 Willem II – Winning probability: 50.13% | Fair line: 1.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Helmond Sport
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Helmond Sport x Willem II is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Helmond Sport x Willem II

Is betting on Helmond Sport worth it?

🔵 Helmond Sport: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $449.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$260.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Should you bet on Willem II?

🔴 Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $710.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$210.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Helmond Sport x Willem II

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Helmond Sport
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Helmond Sport x Willem II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Helmond Sport and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Helmond Sport.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Willem II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Helmond Sport x Willem II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves