Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 19:45

Hemel Hempstead 3.37

X 3.55

Dorking Wanderers 1.91

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers:

🔮 Dorking Wanderers wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dorking Wanderers, you can win up to $955.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hemel Hempstead in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dorking Wanderers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Dorking Wanderers scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Dorking Wanderers, Hemel Hempstead scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Dorking Wanderers matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Hemel Hempstead conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Hemel Hempstead as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers for the England National League South – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227805 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers

Is it worth betting on Hemel Hempstead?

🔵 Hemel Hempstead: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $545.10
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$224.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $484.50
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.50.

Is it worth betting on Dorking Wanderers?

🔴 Dorking Wanderers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $527.80;
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$107.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hemel Hempstead
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Hemel Hempstead, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Hemel Hempstead.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hemel Hempstead x Dorking Wanderers

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.