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Home » Predictions » Others » Hercules II x Ontinyent Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 6
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 17h30 Spain Tercera Group 6
Hercules II Hercules II
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Ontinyent Ontinyent
ODD: @3
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Hercules II x Ontinyent Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for Hercules II x Ontinyent, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
17:30
Hercules II Hercules II
2.98
X
3.00
Ontinyent Ontinyent
2.24

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hercules II x Ontinyent:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Hercules II x Ontinyent:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hercules II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ontinyent scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hercules II conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Ontinyent has not lost any of them.
👉 It is not a good time for Hercules II as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hercules II x Ontinyent for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 20 of December

🏟️ Hercules II X Ontinyent – Spain Tercera Group 6
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Hercules II – Winning probability: 24.28% | Fair line: 4.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.08% | Fair line: 2.85
🔴 Ontinyent – Winning probability: 40.64% | Fair line: 2.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hercules II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hercules II and Ontinyent.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hercules II x Ontinyent

Should you bet on Hercules II?

🔵 Hercules II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $475.20;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$284.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ontinyent?

🔴 Ontinyent: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $508.40;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$81.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hercules II x Ontinyent

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hercules II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hercules II x Ontinyent

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Hercules II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Hercules II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ontinyent.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hercules II x Ontinyent

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves