Herediano x AD Guanacasteca Betting tips for January 16 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Herediano x AD Guanacasteca, Thursday, 16/1/2025

📅 16/1/2025 02:00

Herediano 1.40

X 4.30

AD Guanacasteca 7.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Herediano x AD Guanacasteca:

🔮 Herediano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Herediano, you can win up to $700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Herediano x AD Guanacasteca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Herediano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $375.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Herediano did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Herediano scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 AD Guanacasteca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AD Guanacasteca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Herediano conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against AD Guanacasteca. 👉 Herediano is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Herediano x AD Guanacasteca for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 16 of January

When the best bet on Herediano x AD Guanacasteca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245823 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Herediano x AD Guanacasteca

Is it a good idea to bet on Herediano?

🔵 Herediano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $332.00;
• And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$162.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $462.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$398.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Guanacasteca?

🔴 AD Guanacasteca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $240.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Herediano x AD Guanacasteca

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Herediano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Herediano x AD Guanacasteca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Herediano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Herediano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Herediano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Herediano x AD Guanacasteca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.