HNK Rijeka x NK Celje Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 11/12/2025 20:00 |
 HNK Rijeka2.11 |
X 3.25 |
NK Celje  3.35 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for HNK Rijeka x NK Celje:
🔮 HNK Rijeka wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on HNK Rijeka, you can win up to $1055.00!
Important information for your tip for HNK Rijeka x NK Celje:
👉 If you had bet $100 on HNK Rijeka in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $397.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against NK Celje, HNK Rijeka scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, HNK Rijeka conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against NK Celje.
👉 HNK Rijeka has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against NK Celje playing at home.
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Analysis from HNK Rijeka x NK Celje for the UEFA Conference League – 11 of December
🏟️ HNK Rijeka X NK Celje – UEFA Conference League
📅 11 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 HNK Rijeka – Winning probability: 56.05% | Fair line: 1.78
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.42% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 NK Celje – Winning probability: 21.54% | Fair line: 4.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 HNK Rijeka
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between HNK Rijeka and NK Celje.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449962 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for HNK Rijeka x NK Celje
Is it worth betting on HNK Rijeka?
🔵 HNK Rijeka: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $621.60;
- And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$181.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $495.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.
Is betting on NK Celje worth it?
🔴 NK Celje: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $517.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$263.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match HNK Rijeka x NK Celje
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 HNK Rijeka
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for HNK Rijeka x NK Celje
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 HNK Rijeka, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 HNK Rijeka. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for HNK Rijeka x NK Celje
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
