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Home » Predictions » Others » Horsham x Folkestone Invicta Betting tips for November 26 in England Isthmian Premier Division
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England Isthmian Premier Division
Horsham Horsham
PREDICTION Horsham wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Horsham x Folkestone Invicta Betting tips for November 26 in England Isthmian Premier Division

Our betting tip for Horsham x Folkestone Invicta, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
19:45
Horsham Horsham
1.78
X
3.78
Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta
3.54

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Horsham x Folkestone Invicta:

🔮 Horsham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Horsham, you can win up to $890.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Horsham x Folkestone Invicta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Horsham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $412.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Folkestone Invicta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-78.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Horsham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Folkestone Invicta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Folkestone Invicta, Horsham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Horsham x Folkestone Invicta, with Horsham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Horsham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Folkestone Invicta.
👉 Horsham is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Horsham x Folkestone Invicta for the England Isthmian Premier Division – 26 of November

🏟️ Horsham X Folkestone Invicta – England Isthmian Premier Division
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Horsham – Winning probability: 65.91% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.94% | Fair line: 5.57
🔴 Folkestone Invicta – Winning probability: 16.15% | Fair line: 6.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Horsham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Horsham x Folkestone Invicta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Horsham x Folkestone Invicta

Is it a good idea to bet on Horsham?

🔵 Horsham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $514.80;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$174.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $500.40
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$319.60.

Is it worth betting on Folkestone Invicta?

🔴 Folkestone Invicta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $406.40
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$433.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Horsham x Folkestone Invicta

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Horsham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Horsham x Folkestone Invicta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Horsham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Horsham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Horsham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Horsham x Folkestone Invicta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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