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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Huachipato x Universidad Catolica Betting tips for November 25 in Chile Primera Division
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Chile Primera Division
Huachipato Huachipato
PREDICTION Huachipato wins Probability 18% 1 X 2
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Huachipato x Universidad Catolica Betting tips for November 25 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
21:00
Huachipato Huachipato
2.00
X
3.40
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
3.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Huachipato wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Huachipato, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Huachipato in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Universidad Catolica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Huachipato scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Universidad Catolica scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Universidad Catolica, Huachipato scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Universidad Catolica matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Huachipato x Universidad Catolica?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Huachipato x Universidad Catolica, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Huachipato x Universidad Catolica for the Chile Primera Division – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Huachipato X Universidad Catolica – Chile Primera Division
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 21:00
๐Ÿ”ต Huachipato – Winning probability: 61.94% | Fair line: 1.61
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.68% | Fair line: 5.08
๐Ÿ”ด Universidad Catolica – Winning probability: 18.38% | Fair line: 5.44
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Huachipato
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica

Should you bet on Huachipato?

๐Ÿ”ต Huachipato: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$240.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$320.00.

Should you bet on Universidad Catolica?

๐Ÿ”ด Universidad Catolica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$424.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Huachipato x Universidad Catolica

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Huachipato
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Huachipato, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Huachipato. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Huachipato x Universidad Catolica

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves