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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC Betting tips for November 24 in South Africa National Div 1
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 South Africa National Div 1
Hungry Lions FC Hungry Lions FC
PREDICTION No tip
Milford FC Milford FC
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Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC Betting tips for November 24 in South Africa National Div 1

Our betting tip for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
14:30
Hungry Lions FC Hungry Lions FC
1.75
X
3.08
Milford FC Milford FC
4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC

Some important points for the tip for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Milford FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Milford FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC

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Summary

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Analysis from Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC for the South Africa National Div 1 – 24 of November

🏟️ Hungry Lions FC X Milford FC – South Africa National Div 1
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ Hungry Lions FC – Winning probability: 60.29% | Fair line: 1.66
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.65% | Fair line: 3.62
πŸ”΄ Milford FC – Winning probability: 12.06% | Fair line: 8.29
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Hungry Lions FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hungry Lions FC and Milford FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC

Is it worth betting on Hungry Lions FC?

πŸ”΅ Hungry Lions FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $582.40
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$137.60.

Is betting on Milford FC worth it?

πŸ”΄ Milford FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$448.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Hungry Lions FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Hungry Lions FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Hungry Lions FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hungry Lions FC x Milford FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves