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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Northern Premier League
Hyde Utd Hyde Utd
PREDICTION Hyde Utd wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
Morpeth Town Morpeth Town
ODD: @1.93 Don't miss this prediction!

Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Hyde Utd Hyde Utd
1.93
X
3.75
Morpeth Town Morpeth Town
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Hyde Utd wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hyde Utd, you can win up to $965.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hyde Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-14.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Morpeth Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Hyde Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Morpeth Town, Hyde Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Morpeth Town matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Hyde Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Morpeth Town.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town for the England Northern Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Hyde Utd X Morpeth Town – England Northern Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Hyde Utd – Winning probability: 68.07% | Fair line: 1.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.00% | Fair line: 7.14
๐Ÿ”ด Morpeth Town – Winning probability: 17.93% | Fair line: 5.58
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Hyde Utd
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town

Is it a good idea to bet on Hyde Utd?

๐Ÿ”ต Hyde Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $632.40;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$312.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$475.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Morpeth Town?

๐Ÿ”ด Morpeth Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $378.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$442.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Hyde Utd
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Hyde Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Hyde Utd.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Hyde Utd.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hyde Utd x Morpeth Town

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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