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Home » Predictions » Others » Ilkeston x Hebburn Town Betting tips for November 30 in England Northern Premier League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England Northern Premier League
Ilkeston Ilkeston
PREDICTION Ilkeston wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Hebburn Town Hebburn Town
ODD: @1.97 Don't miss this prediction!

Ilkeston x Hebburn Town Betting tips for November 30 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Ilkeston x Hebburn Town, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Ilkeston Ilkeston
1.97
X
3.72
Hebburn Town Hebburn Town
2.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ilkeston x Hebburn Town:

🔮 Ilkeston wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ilkeston, you can win up to $985.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Ilkeston x Hebburn Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ilkeston in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-149.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hebburn Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $395.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ilkeston scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Hebburn Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Ilkeston x Hebburn Town for the England Northern Premier League – 30 of November

🏟️ Ilkeston X Hebburn Town – England Northern Premier League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Ilkeston – Winning probability: 57.79% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.77% | Fair line: 4.81
🔴 Hebburn Town – Winning probability: 21.44% | Fair line: 4.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ilkeston
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ilkeston x Hebburn Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ilkeston x Hebburn Town

Is it worth betting on Ilkeston?

🔵 Ilkeston: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $562.60;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$142.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $571.20;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hebburn Town?

🔴 Hebburn Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $388.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$401.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ilkeston x Hebburn Town

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ilkeston
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ilkeston x Hebburn Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Ilkeston and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ilkeston.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ilkeston.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ilkeston x Hebburn Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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