Illescas x CD Guadalajara Betting tips for March 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Illescas x CD Guadalajara, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 16:00

Illescas 4.20

X 3.20

CD Guadalajara 1.78

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Illescas x CD Guadalajara:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Illescas x CD Guadalajara

The main points for the tip for Illescas x CD Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Illescas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-137.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against CD Guadalajara, Illescas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Illescas x CD Guadalajara, with Illescas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Illescas conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Illescas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against CD Guadalajara. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, CD Guadalajara has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Illescas x CD Guadalajara?

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Analysis from Illescas x CD Guadalajara for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Illescas x CD Guadalajara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290777 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Illescas x CD Guadalajara

Is it worth betting on Illescas?

🔵 Illescas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $572.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is betting on CD Guadalajara worth it?

🔴 CD Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $460.20;
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$50.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Illescas x CD Guadalajara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Illescas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Illescas x CD Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Illescas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Illescas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CD Guadalajara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Illescas x CD Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.