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Home » Predictions » Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario Betting tips for October 29 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 00h00 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Imbabura Imbabura
PREDICTION Tecnico Universitario Wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario Betting tips for October 29 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
📅 29/10/2024
00:00
Imbabura Imbabura
2.42
X
3.20
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario:

🔮 Tecnico Universitario wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tecnico Universitario, you can win up to $1350.00!

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The main points for the tip for Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Imbabura in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $400.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tecnico Universitario in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tecnico Universitario scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tecnico Universitario conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 29 of October

🏟️ Imbabura X Tecnico Universitario – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 29 of October, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Imbabura – Winning probability: 30.93% | Fair line: 3.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.12% | Fair line: 3.56
🔴 Tecnico Universitario – Winning probability: 40.95% | Fair line: 2.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Imbabura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario

Is it a good idea to bet on Imbabura?

🔵 Imbabura: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $440.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$249.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tecnico Universitario?

🔴 Tecnico Universitario: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $697.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$107.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Imbabura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Imbabura, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Imbabura.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Tecnico Universitario.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Imbabura x Tecnico Universitario

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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