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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 20h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
PREDICTION Independiente del Valle wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
LDU Quito LDU Quito
ODD: @1.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito, Saturday, 14/12/2024
📅 14/12/2024
20:30
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
1.98
X
3.40
LDU Quito LDU Quito
3.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito:

🔮 Independiente del Valle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente del Valle, you can win up to $990.00!

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The main points for the tip for Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente del Valle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on LDU Quito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $267.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, LDU Quito scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Independiente del Valle is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.
👉 LDU Quito is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 14 of December

🏟️ Independiente del Valle X LDU Quito – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 14 of December, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Independiente del Valle – Winning probability: 64.57% | Fair line: 1.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.07% | Fair line: 5.25
🔴 LDU Quito – Winning probability: 16.36% | Fair line: 6.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente del Valle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente del Valle and LDU Quito.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236700 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito

Should you bet on Independiente del Valle?

🔵 Independiente del Valle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $637.00
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$287.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$354.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on LDU Quito?

🔴 LDU Quito: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente del Valle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Independiente del Valle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Independiente del Valle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Independiente del Valle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente del Valle x LDU Quito

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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