Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for April 21 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 21/4/2024 23:20 |
 Independiente Medellin2.00 |
X 3.16 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin  3.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1580.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 21 of April
|
🏟️ Independiente Medellin X Atletico Nacional Medellin – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1101562 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Is betting on Independiente Medellin worth it?
🔵 Independiente Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $370.00
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$260.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $734.40;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$74.40.
Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?
🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $754.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$44.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Independiente Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Medellin. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
