Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC Betting tips for November 15 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC, Friday, 15/11/2024

📅 15/11/2024 00:00

Independiente Medellin 1.40

X 4.22

Envigado FC 7.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC:

🔮 Envigado FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Envigado FC, you can win up to $3950.00!

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Important information for your tip for Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Independiente Medellin scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Envigado FC, Independiente Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Independiente Medellin matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Envigado FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Independiente Medellin is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Independiente Medellin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Envigado FC playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Envigado FC as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC for the Colombia Primera A – 15 of November

When the best bet on Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221437 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC

Should you bet on Independiente Medellin?

🔵 Independiente Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $244.00
• And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$146.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $418.60
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$451.40.

Is it worth betting on Envigado FC?

🔴 Envigado FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $1725.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$975.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Independiente Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Independiente Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Envigado FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Medellin x Envigado FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.