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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC Betting tips for November 7 in Colombia Primera A
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 01h30 Colombia Primera A
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
PREDICTION Independiente Medellin wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC Betting tips for November 7 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
01:30
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
1.44
X
4.06
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC:

🔮 Independiente Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Medellin, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-77.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Patriotas FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independiente Medellin scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Patriotas FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Patriotas FC, Independiente Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Independiente Medellin is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Independiente Medellin has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Patriotas FC.

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Summary

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Analysis from Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC for the Colombia Primera A – 7 of November

🏟️ Independiente Medellin X Patriotas FC – Colombia Primera A
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 01:30
🔵 Independiente Medellin – Winning probability: 82.16% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.33% | Fair line: 6.98
🔴 Patriotas FC – Winning probability: 3.51% | Fair line: 28.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Medellin and Patriotas FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1216337 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC

Should you bet on Independiente Medellin?

🔵 Independiente Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $360.80;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$180.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $428.40;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$431.60.

Is it worth betting on Patriotas FC?

🔴 Patriotas FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Independiente Medellin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Independiente Medellin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Independiente Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Medellin x Patriotas FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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