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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs Betting tips for December 3 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 03 December 2024, 00h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
PREDICTION Argentinos Jrs Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs Betting tips for December 3 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs, Tuesday, 3/12/2024
📅 3/12/2024
00:30
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
2.54
X
2.95
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs:

🔮 Argentinos Jrs wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentinos Jrs, you can win up to $1400.00!

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The main points for the tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $868.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentinos Jrs in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Argentinos Jrs conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Argentinos Jrs as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 3 of December

🏟️ Independiente Rivadavia X Argentinos Jrs – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 3 of December, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 22.94% | Fair line: 4.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.97% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Argentinos Jrs – Winning probability: 46.09% | Fair line: 2.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Rivadavia and Argentinos Jrs.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1231409 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs

Is it worth betting on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔵 Independiente Rivadavia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $354.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $604.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$85.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Argentinos Jrs?

🔴 Argentinos Jrs: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $828.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$288.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Independiente Rivadavia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Independiente Rivadavia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Argentinos Jrs.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Rivadavia x Argentinos Jrs

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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