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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for December 17 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 17 December 2024, 00h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for December 17 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra, Tuesday, 17/12/2024
📅 17/12/2024
00:00
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
2.11
X
3.00
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $948.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Deportivo Riestra, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 17 of December

🏟️ Independiente Rivadavia X Deportivo Riestra – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 17 of December, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 47.60% | Fair line: 2.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.71% | Fair line: 2.97
🔴 Deportivo Riestra – Winning probability: 18.69% | Fair line: 5.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237062 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

Is it a good idea to bet on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔵 Independiente Rivadavia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $532.80;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$12.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Riestra worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Riestra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Independiente Rivadavia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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