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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for December 17 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 17 December 2024, 00h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
ODD: @3.03 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for December 17 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra, Tuesday, 17/12/2024
📅 17/12/2024
00:00
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
2.09
X
3.03
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
3.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1515.00!

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The main points for the tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $948.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Deportivo Riestra, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 17 of December

🏟️ Independiente Rivadavia X Deportivo Riestra – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 17 of December, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 46.10% | Fair line: 2.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.16% | Fair line: 3.21
🔴 Deportivo Riestra – Winning probability: 22.74% | Fair line: 4.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Rivadavia and Deportivo Riestra.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237660 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

Is it worth betting on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔵 Independiente Rivadavia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $501.40;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$38.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $629.30;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$60.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Riestra?

🔴 Deportivo Riestra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $632.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$137.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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