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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate Betting tips for November 22 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Friday, 22 November 2024, 00h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
PREDICTION River Plate Wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
River Plate River Plate
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate Betting tips for November 22 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
00:30
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
5.50
X
3.60
River Plate River Plate
1.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate:

🔮 River Plate wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on River Plate, you can win up to $810.00!

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Important information for your tip for Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $18.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Independiente Rivadavia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate:

Analysis from Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 22 of November

🏟️ Independiente Rivadavia X River Plate – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 3.75% | Fair line: 26.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.61% | Fair line: 9.43
🔴 River Plate – Winning probability: 85.64% | Fair line: 1.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Rivadavia and River Plate.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate

Is it worth betting on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔵 Independiente Rivadavia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $180.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$780.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $286.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$604.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on River Plate?

🔴 River Plate: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $533.20
  • And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$393.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Independiente Rivadavia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Independiente Rivadavia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Rivadavia x River Plate

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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