Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza Betting tips for September 26 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 26/9/2024 20:30 |
 Independiente Santa Fe1.58 |
X 3.50 |
Alianza  5.74 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza:
🔮 Independiente Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe, you can win up to $790.00!
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Important information for your tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $189.0. |
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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza for the Colombia Primera A – 26 of September
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🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Alianza – Colombia Primera A |
When the best bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1188870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza
Is it worth betting on Independiente Santa Fe?
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 700 times – profiting $406.00;
- And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$106.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.00.
Is betting on Alianza worth it?
🔴 Alianza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $331.80;
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$598.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Independiente Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
