Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for December 9 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga, Tuesday, 9/12/2025

📅 9/12/2025 00:20

Independiente Santa Fe 2.20

X 3.10

Atletico Bucaramanga 3.27

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga

Some important points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atletico Bucaramanga, Independiente Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Atletico Bucaramanga.
👉 Independiente Santa Fe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Atletico Bucaramanga playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449962 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news on the match between Independiente Santa Fe and Atletico Bucaramanga

Independiente Santa Fe: Independiente Santa Fe wrapped up 2025 in a mixed manner: after winning the Liga BetPlay 2025–I title, the club celebrated its three main stars — Hugo Rodallega, goalkeeper Jorge Bava, and defender Andrés Mosquera Marmolejo — while the second half of the season saw them eliminated from the semifinals of Liga BetPlay 2025–II after a 1-0 loss to Deportes Tolima in Ibagué and a subsequent defeat to Fortaleza, finishing the group stage with two matches remaining against Fortaleza and Bucaramanga; amidst disappointment, the club confirmed the arrival of Uruguayan coach Pablo Repetto, who will take over on December 9, 2025, after the season ends, with the goal of rebuilding the squad for a 2026 campaign that includes a hoped-for participation in the Copa Libertadores.

Atlético Bucaramanga: Atlético Bucaramangas campaign in the semifinals of Liga BetPlay II 2025 ended in disappointment after a goalless draw against Deportes Tolima on December 3, 2025, at Estadio Américo Montanini, a result that allowed Tolima to secure a spot in the final of Group B with 11 points, while Bucaramanga remained with eight points and was mathematically unable to reach the championship decision; led by Leonel Álvarez, the “leopardos” had entered the quadrangular phase needing a victory to stay alive, after a crucial win over Fortaleza, but a 0-0 draw and a subsequent defeat to Junior confirmed their elimination from the title race.

Table analysis for the game between Independiente Santa Fe and Atletico Bucaramanga

Independiente Santa Fe: Currently in 3rd place in Group B of the 2025 Clausura of Colombias Primera A, with 6 points from 5 matches, Santa Fe is 2 points behind Atlético Bucaramanga and is also in 7th place overall, with 31 points from 20 matches in the overall league. Since there are few rounds left in the group stage (only 1 match remaining in Group B), the match against Atlético Bucaramanga is crucial for Santa Fe to secure a spot in the finals (which likely involve the top two teams of the group). A win would put Santa Fe in direct contention for the second spot in the group, while a loss would hurt their chances. Therefore, the game is highly important for their aspirations to advance in the tournament. ⚽🔥

Atlético Bucaramanga: Leader of Group B with 8 points, just 1 point behind Deportes Tolima, Atlético Bucaramanga is in a good position to advance to the final of the 2025 Clausura. Overall, they are 4th with 37 points from 20 matches, confirming their strength this season. The match against Santa Fe will be decisive to consolidate the group leadership and secure an advantage in the standings. A draw maintains their lead, and a victory almost guarantees a spot among the finalists. The pressure to win is high, as the result could determine their passage to the final stages of the tournament. 🏆🔥

Summary: The match between Independiente Santa Fe and Atlético Bucaramanga is of decisive importance for both, as it occurs in the penultimate round of Group B of the 2025 Clausura. The result could determine who advances to the finals and directly impact the aspirations of both clubs in the competition. It is a high-pressure game with strategic importance for title ambitions, qualifications, and season continuity. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga

Is betting on Independiente Santa Fe worth it?

🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $516.00
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$54.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$23.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Bucaramanga?

🔴 Atletico Bucaramanga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $544.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$215.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Bucaramanga

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.