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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for February 1 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 00h30 Colombia Primera A
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
PREDICTION No tip
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for February 1 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima, Saturday, 1/2/2025
πŸ“… 1/2/2025
00:30
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
2.30
X
2.80
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima

Some important points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportes Tolima, Independiente Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima, with Independiente Santa Fe as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportes Tolima conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Independiente Santa Fe has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportes Tolima playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Deportes Tolima as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima for the Colombia Primera A – 1 of February

🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Deportes Tolima – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 1 of February, 2025 – 00:30
πŸ”΅ Independiente Santa Fe – Winning probability: 42.87% | Fair line: 2.33
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.60% | Fair line: 3.07
πŸ”΄ Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 24.54% | Fair line: 4.08
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254601 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima

Is it worth betting on Independiente Santa Fe?

πŸ”΅ Independiente Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $559.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$11.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $594.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportes Tolima?

πŸ”΄ Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$175.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1Γ—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportes Tolima

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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