Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios Betting tips for November 27 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 27/11/2024 01:00 |
 Independiente Santa Fe2.48 |
X 2.80 |
Millonarios  2.88 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios:
🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $13.0. |
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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios for the Colombia Primera A – 27 of November
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🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Millonarios – Colombia Primera A |
When the best bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios
Is it worth betting on Independiente Santa Fe?
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $532.80;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$107.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $702.00
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.
Is it worth betting on Millonarios?
🔴 Millonarios: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $470.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Millonarios
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
