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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 9 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 01h20 Colombia Primera A
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
PREDICTION No tip
Once Caldas Once Caldas
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Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 9 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas, Saturday, 9/11/2024
πŸ“… 9/11/2024
01:20
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
2.16
X
3.10
Once Caldas Once Caldas
3.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

The main points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Once Caldas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of November

🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Once Caldas – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 9 of November, 2024 – 01:20
πŸ”΅ Independiente Santa Fe – Winning probability: 52.67% | Fair line: 1.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.01% | Fair line: 3.12
πŸ”΄ Once Caldas – Winning probability: 15.32% | Fair line: 6.53
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218333 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

Is it a good idea to bet on Independiente Santa Fe?

πŸ”΅ Independiente Santa Fe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $614.80;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$144.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Once Caldas?

πŸ”΄ Once Caldas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $342.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$508.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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