Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 9 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 9/11/2024 01:20 |
 Independiente Santa Fe2.29 |
X 3.10 |
Once Caldas  3.10 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0. |
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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of November
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🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Once Caldas – Colombia Primera A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Santa Fe and Once Caldas.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217445 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas
Is betting on Independiente Santa Fe worth it?
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $528.90;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$61.10.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $777.00
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.00.
Is betting on Once Caldas worth it?
🔴 Once Caldas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$318.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
