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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Institute x Ballinamallard Utd Betting tips for November 24 in Northern Ireland Championship
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Northern Ireland Championship
Institute Institute
PREDICTION No tip
Ballinamallard Utd Ballinamallard Utd
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Institute x Ballinamallard Utd Betting tips for November 24 in Northern Ireland Championship

Our betting tip for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
19:45
Institute Institute
1.74
X
3.75
Ballinamallard Utd Ballinamallard Utd
3.82

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd

Some important points for the tip for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd:

πŸ‘‰ Institute did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Institute scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Institute conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ballinamallard Utd.
πŸ‘‰ Institute is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Ballinamallard Utd has not lost any of them.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd

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Summary

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Analysis from Institute x Ballinamallard Utd for the Northern Ireland Championship – 24 of November

🏟️ Institute X Ballinamallard Utd – Northern Ireland Championship
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Institute – Winning probability: 55.97% | Fair line: 1.79
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.55% | Fair line: 4.07
πŸ”΄ Ballinamallard Utd – Winning probability: 19.48% | Fair line: 5.13
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Institute
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd

Is it worth betting on Institute?

πŸ”΅ Institute: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $414.40;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$25.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $687.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$62.50.

Should you bet on Ballinamallard Utd?

πŸ”΄ Ballinamallard Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $535.80;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$274.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Institute x Ballinamallard Utd

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Institute
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Institute, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Institute. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Institute x Ballinamallard Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves