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Home » Predictions » Others » Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors Betting tips for July 28 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 28 July 2024, 20h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
PREDICTION Instituto AC Cordoba wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
ODD: @3.09 Don't miss this prediction!

Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors Betting tips for July 28 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors, Sunday, 28/7/2024
📅 28/7/2024
20:30
Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
3.09
X
3.16
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
2.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors:

🔮 Instituto AC Cordoba wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Instituto AC Cordoba, you can win up to $1545.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Instituto AC Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Instituto AC Cordoba scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Instituto AC Cordoba conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 28 of July

🏟️ Instituto AC Cordoba X Boca Juniors – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 28 of July, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Instituto AC Cordoba – Winning probability: 40.19% | Fair line: 2.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.90% | Fair line: 2.95
🔴 Boca Juniors – Winning probability: 25.91% | Fair line: 3.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Instituto AC Cordoba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1151963 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors

Is it a good idea to bet on Instituto AC Cordoba?

🔵 Instituto AC Cordoba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $836.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$236.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $734.40;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$74.40.

Is betting on Boca Juniors worth it?

🔴 Boca Juniors: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $317.20
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$422.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Instituto AC Cordoba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Instituto AC Cordoba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Instituto AC Cordoba.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Boca Juniors.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Instituto AC Cordoba x Boca Juniors

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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