Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas Betting tips for December 21 in Greece Gamma Ethniki
| 📅 21/12/2025 14:00 |
 Ionikos Nikaia1.69 |
X 3.32 |
Thyella Rafinas  4.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas:
🔮 Ionikos Nikaia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ionikos Nikaia, you can win up to $845.00!
The main points for the tip for Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ionikos Nikaia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $163.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Thyella Rafinas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ionikos Nikaia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ionikos Nikaia is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas for the Greece Gamma Ethniki – 21 of December
🏟️ Ionikos Nikaia X Thyella Rafinas – Greece Gamma Ethniki
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Ionikos Nikaia – Winning probability: 66.15% | Fair line: 1.51
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.30% | Fair line: 4.29
🔴 Thyella Rafinas – Winning probability: 10.55% | Fair line: 9.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Ionikos Nikaia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas
Is it worth betting on Ionikos Nikaia?
🔵 Ionikos Nikaia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 660 times – profiting $455.40;
- And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$115.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $533.60;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$236.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Thyella Rafinas?
🔴 Thyella Rafinas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $418.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Ionikos Nikaia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Ionikos Nikaia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Ionikos Nikaia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Ionikos Nikaia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ionikos Nikaia x Thyella Rafinas
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
