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Home » Predictions » Others » Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou Betting tips for December 21 in Greece Gamma Ethniki
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h00 Greece Gamma Ethniki
Iraklis Thermaikou Iraklis Thermaikou
PREDICTION Iraklis Thermaikou wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Aetos Orfanou Aetos Orfanou
ODD: @1.77
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Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou Betting tips for December 21 in Greece Gamma Ethniki

Our betting tip for Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
13:00
Iraklis Thermaikou Iraklis Thermaikou
1.77
X
3.50
Aetos Orfanou Aetos Orfanou
4.06

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou:

🔮 Iraklis Thermaikou wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Iraklis Thermaikou, you can win up to $885.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Iraklis Thermaikou in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-249.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Iraklis Thermaikou scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Aetos Orfanou scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Iraklis Thermaikou conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou for the Greece Gamma Ethniki – 21 of December

🏟️ Iraklis Thermaikou X Aetos Orfanou – Greece Gamma Ethniki
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Iraklis Thermaikou – Winning probability: 62.34% | Fair line: 1.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.25% | Fair line: 4.12
🔴 Aetos Orfanou – Winning probability: 13.41% | Fair line: 7.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Iraklis Thermaikou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou

Is betting on Iraklis Thermaikou worth it?

🔵 Iraklis Thermaikou: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.77. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $477.40;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$97.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on Aetos Orfanou?

🔴 Aetos Orfanou: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $397.80;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Iraklis Thermaikou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Iraklis Thermaikou, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Iraklis Thermaikou.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Aetos Orfanou.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Iraklis Thermaikou x Aetos Orfanou

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves