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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Turkey U19 League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Turkey U19 League
Istanbul Basaksehir U19 Istanbul Basaksehir U19
PREDICTION No tip
Kasimpasa U19 Kasimpasa U19
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Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Turkey U19 League

Our betting tip for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
11:00
Istanbul Basaksehir U19 Istanbul Basaksehir U19
2.80
X
3.20
Kasimpasa U19 Kasimpasa U19
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19

Important information for your tip for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Istanbul Basaksehir U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kasimpasa U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Istanbul Basaksehir U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Kasimpasa U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Istanbul Basaksehir U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Kasimpasa U19 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Istanbul Basaksehir U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Istanbul Basaksehir U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Kasimpasa U19.
πŸ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Kasimpasa U19 won the last 4 head-to-head matches Istanbul Basaksehir U19Β΄s territory

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19 for the Turkey U19 League – 25 of November

🏟️ Istanbul Basaksehir U19 X Kasimpasa U19 – Turkey U19 League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Istanbul Basaksehir U19 – Winning probability: 27.04% | Fair line: 3.7
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.01% | Fair line: 3.57
πŸ”΄ Kasimpasa U19 – Winning probability: 44.95% | Fair line: 2.22
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Istanbul Basaksehir U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19

Is it a good idea to bet on Istanbul Basaksehir U19?

πŸ”΅ Istanbul Basaksehir U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$244.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$104.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kasimpasa U19?

πŸ”΄ Kasimpasa U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $562.50
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$12.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Istanbul Basaksehir U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Istanbul Basaksehir U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Istanbul Basaksehir U19.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Kasimpasa U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Istanbul Basaksehir U19 x Kasimpasa U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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